I’m a big fan of the Kinect technology. I’ve written before that I think there is more business use to Kinect than entertainment and the release of a non commercial use SDK by Microsoft has resulted in a number of interesting concepts being developed. Microsoft promise a commercial SDK early next year.
We are still very early into this technology life cycle. I anticipate MS will attempt to embed Kinect into some of their products slated for a 2012 release such as Office, Sharepoint, Lync, Windows8 and Exchange but these are likely to be further early stage concepts rather than deeply embedded features within the product.
I would anticipate incremental development with Windows8 and a major push to embed Kinect into their post 2012 release of Office products which would be around 2014/2015. This should give enough time for three important factors to mature which are not available today:
- The sensor technology must improve (and I’m sure it will). At the moment we all put up with the limitations because we are excited by the potential. Mass adoption will not be so forgiving. The technology must work first time, especially if it is to be deployed to business
- A wider developer base will be available so business can exploit Kinect’s potential by hiring developers and service providers to deploy into their specific business environment
- The camera must be smaller and built into laptops/slates.